Race-by-race preview and tips for Rosehill on Wednesday
Race-by-race preview and tips for Rosehill on Wednesday
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By Ray Hickson
Selections based on a good track.
RACE 1:
1. Nitro had to do it the hard way on debut and while the margin was narrow he couldn’t have been any more impressive. Interesting to see whether they go forward or back from that outside barrier but if he repeats the performance he’ll be hard to beat. 8. Casserousse ran right up to market support winning first-up for Joe Pride at Hawkesbury. She went forward on that occasion so imagine it’ll be similar from near the outside, which may aid the top weight, and she can run well. 4. Zocketman has settled back and rounded them up comfortably in two starts either side of a break. Drawn the inside, whether he can hold up from the gate remains to be seen but hard to knock the way he’s gone about it so far.
How to play it: Nitro WIN
Racing returns to Rosehill on Saturday. Credit: Getty Images
Race 2
1. Big Tiger fought on like his namesake on debut after sitting three wide on the speed running a close third. With that under his belt and a kinder alley he’ll likely look to lead. He’ll be hard to get past. 5. Reiz Souvent comes through the same race where he was solid in betting and just held ground to run fifth beaten under three lengths. Will get another soft run and could well lift quickly. 9. Miss Lola has the blinkers on but no favours with the barrier after edging out Big Tiger for second at Warwick Farm three weeks ago. Not far off a win but will need a bit of luck.
How to play it: Big Tiger WIN
Race 3
11. Plaintiff is a well bred and an expensive yearling making her debut on the back of two trials in October. She did take a bit of winding up before winning the latest but once she got into gear she looked strong. Finds a winnable race. 2. Weekend Market is a Godolphin mare stepping out for Gary Portelli and she put a big space on her rivals in a 1207m trial five weeks ago. That was her best trial performance and she’s worth a look. 6. Balmoral Castle started favourite on debut at Murtoa five weeks back and sat handy before running second. Interesting that the Maher stable has switched her to NSW.
How to play it: Plaintiff WIN
Race 4
16. Virgil’s Gift was well-supported into odds-on at her first start at Kembla and hit the line at the end of the 1200m like a horse who will excel over more ground. She was still too good there and the step up is in her favour. No surprise to see her go on with it. 4. Long Legs led all the way on a deteriorating track over 1400m two weeks ago after getting in with a light weight. She was dominant and while up sharply in the weights she’s drawn to land right there again. 3. Empress Of Japan is fitter for two runs back and did improve into that second run when runner-up at 1400m at Hawkesbury. Further improvement can see her in the finish somewhere.
How to play it: Virgil’s Gift WIN
Race 5
11. Mortal Halo couldn’t have done it much easier in breaking through first-up at Scone. Settled nicely just off the pace and dashed right away at the end of 1400m. Up in class on that, but he was placed for an easy first-up win and got the result. Good chance to take the next step. 2. Fiftyfivechevy had a consistent preparation last time when he won successive races over the mile. So resuming at this trip is in his comfort zone. One to keep an eye on. 8. Automne Tree drops 4kg on his first-up third at Hawkesbury where he was solidly supported but could only run into the minor placing. Fitter for it and drawn well so could be an improver.
How to play it: Mortal Halo WIN.
Race 6
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9. Buckenara has hit his straps with two pretty strong wins at Newcastle and Kembla. Led in the former and settled just off them in the latter so he’s versatile, draws to be wherever is needed and it’s the right time to come back to town. Good each-way chance. 4. Let’s Fly did run well behind Modella a month ago but hasn’t been competitive in her past two. Can forgive the Four Pillars from the outside barrier of 18. Chance to find her form again. 5. Agita finished midfield in the Four Pillars after dropping sharply in distance. Was in good form around this trip a few starts back and capable of showing up.
How to play it: Buckenara EACH-WAY
Race 7
14. Fleeting Spirit has been racing well without winning and she was solidly supported when placed at Kensington a month ago. Gets some weight relief and blinkers go on first time, she has a handy finish on her when she can produce it. 10. Miss Hades has been trialling quite well waiting for a return race and finds suitable ground and a soft barrier. She can pull out a big run fresh and would be a nice each-way hope. 8. Theblade is around the mark without winning and bumped into a track record when runner-up at Warwick Farm last month. Sure to be competitive.
How to play it: Fleeting Spirit EACH-WAY
Best Bets: Race 2 (1) Big Tiger; Race 5 (11) Mortal Halo.
Best Value: Race 6 (9) Buckenara
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